Long Day, Short Dog Shirt
Time for sleep
Good Evening:
It was a very long night. I got through projecting at 9:15 pm last night, when the rain hit and I had to pack up my gear all of a sudden. I raced downtown through the rain to try to make the last train to New York for a speech I was scheduled to give at 9:30 am this morning. I made the 10:00 pm train and got into New York at around 2:30 am and groggily made my way to my hotel. I got there at around 3:00 am, having no idea that I would awaken a few hours later to this view out the 24th floor window.
It was a nice way to wake up. But I was, and am, very tired. So this is going to be a short dog shirt.
#DogShirtTV resumes tomorrow morning at 8:00 Eastern time. Access to the studio is available below the paywall for paid subscribers.
Who will the guest be? I have absolutely no idea.
Who will be co-hosting with me? No clue.
These are some of the things that make the show fun—one might even say a fucking revolution in morning television.
Today on Lawfare
In my “The Situation” column today, I argue that nominating Matt Gaetz, Tulsi Gabbard, Pete Hegseth, and Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. to senior roles within the administration all at the same time weirdly increases the chance that they will get confirmed. Individually, they are each vulnerable. But Trump makes it hard for Republican senators to oppose any one of them when they are all so horrible and come as a pack. Call it the “flood the zone with shit” strategy on Trump’s part:
It is almost unthinkable that four Republican senators have enough backbone to oppose all four of the nominees who exhibit some combination of extreme unsuitability for office and policy attitudes antithetical to their agencies’ mission. So from the point of view of a savvy Republican senator who wants to do the right thing, it is important to pick one’s battles carefully. The trouble arises when he or she tries to decide which battles to pick.
The Constitutional Dimensions of AUKUS and War Powers
Daniel Skeffington analyzes the domestic constitutional constraints on war powers for the AUKUS nations and how they affect the alliance, suggesting that factoring in these limitations could facilitate increased warfighting capabilities and collective deterrence:
However, the foundations of the partnership are deeper: The fundamental strategic purpose of AUKUS is to bind close allies around a common agenda, pushing back against maritime coercion by hostile regional powers, specifically China. This rests on a shared commitment by the partner nations to act and operate seamlessly together, such as through the joint-crewing of submarines and interoperability for complex, shared capabilities. AUKUS is an agreement that is both strategic and constitutional at its heart, relying on a cohesive, integrated approach to security and deterrence to realize its broader ambitions.
Do We Want an “IAEA for AI”?
Akash Wasil explores how a model for artificial intelligence (AI) governance—resembling the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)—could function, including how the IAEA’s verification methodology could translate, the limitations of such an approach for AI, the lessons AI governance can draw from organizational case studies, and more:
The IAEA also plays an important role in incident reporting and emergency preparedness. The IAEA helps coordinate information-sharing during emergency scenarios and enables countries to ask for assistance during nuclear emergencies. It maintains an Incident and Emergency Center to help spread information quickly in the event of a nuclear crisis. A similar entity could help nations prepare for potential AI-related emergency scenarios by ensuring that crisis communication channels function adequately and that AI developers have emergency response protocols.
Today on the Lawfare Daily podcast: Kevin Frazier talks to Chris Johnson about space law, including the policies and geopolitical trends shaping the governance of space, how space policy may change in the Trump administration, ongoing international negotiations around space, and more:
Today’s #BeastOfTheDay is this juvenile pukeko. It has put on a pair of striped socks, and is very proud of them:
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